Profitability calculator for padel venues
Investment, financing, operations and revenue of a padel venue, worked through over 10 years. Every assumption open, every origin labeled.
Observed data
The free calculator uses industry assumptions. With full access it works from market data for your location.
Drop a pin on your planned location. The free calculator works with industry assumptions; with full access, the decisive inputs come from observed booking data of comparable clubs nearby.
This is what full access shows here:
With full access, the calculator finds comparable clubs around your pin and uses their observed values, with the number of clubs behind each figure. Thin data is flagged as thin.
Build
Switching the construction type resets type-specific values (build costs, rent, energy, usable days) to their defaults.
Financing
Operations
Enter monthly costs net of VAT (input-tax deduction assumed); indexed at 2% per year from year 2.
Your operating costs equal 51% of expected revenue (the industry norm is around 45%).
Revenue
Prices are gross including 19% VAT. The model computes net values: net = gross / 1.19.
Break-even utilization
26.3%
Uniform utilization that covers operating costs and debt service in a normal year (net, excluding extra revenue).
Your expected utilization: 37.3% (bar). The tick marks break-even.
Payback
3y 10m
Project: pre-financing cash flow covers the investment after funding.
Equity payback (after debt service): 2y 2m
Net ROI 10 years
194%
(cumulative pre-financing cash flow - investment) / investment of €332,000. Pre-tax.
Annualized return (geometric): 11.4%
Cumulative cash flow
Equity view: year 0 carries the equity stake, then post-debt cash flow cumulates.
The band shows how far your utilization and price assumptions can shift the outcome in either direction. Without observed data it stays this wide.
What the result rests on
0 of 24 inputs are observed market values, 21 are industry assumptions and 3 are your own.
10-year overview
| Year | Revenue net (€) | Operating costs (€) | EBITDA (€) | Debt service (€) | Cash flow (€) | Cumulative (€) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | €147,659 | €100,320 | €47,339 | €29,370 | €17,969 | -€81,631 |
| 2 | €200,816 | €102,326 | €98,490 | €29,370 | €69,120 | -€12,512 |
| 3 | €204,833 | €104,373 | €100,460 | €29,370 | €71,089 | €58,578 |
| 4 | €208,929 | €106,460 | €102,469 | €29,370 | €73,099 | €131,676 |
| 5 | €213,108 | €108,590 | €104,518 | €29,370 | €75,148 | €206,824 |
| 6 | €217,370 | €110,761 | €106,609 | €29,370 | €77,238 | €284,062 |
| 7 | €221,718 | €112,977 | €108,741 | €29,370 | €47,370 | €331,433 |
| 8 | €226,152 | €115,236 | €110,916 | €29,370 | €81,545 | €412,978 |
| 9 | €230,675 | €117,541 | €113,134 | €29,370 | €83,764 | €496,742 |
| 10 | €235,288 | €119,892 | €115,397 | €29,370 | €86,026 | €582,768 |
* Year 7 includes the carpet and net renewal (€32,000). Cumulative starts at minus equity (€99,600). All figures pre-tax.
Every row of this table rests on your utilization and price assumptions. The band from the chart applies to every value accordingly; with observed data from comparable clubs it is computed from measurements.
Assumptions and limits
Fixed assumptions
- Ramp-up: year 1 assumes 75% of steady-state revenue.
- Prices and operating costs rise nominally by 2% per year from year 2; the debt service stays fixed.
- Prices are gross including 19% VAT; the model computes net (gross / 1.19).
- The horizon is fixed at 10 years.
- Year 7 books the carpet and net renewal as capital expenditure.
- Observed utilization values from comparable clubs are a floor: courses, memberships and hours not sold online are not part of the booking signal.
Deliberately not modeled
- Taxes and depreciation: all results are pre-tax; your tax burden depends on the legal structure.
- NPV and IRR: we show recoveries and a geometric return, not a discounted value.
- Land purchase: the model assumes rent or lease, not buying the plot.
- Membership models: subscriptions are not modeled; the model prices per booked hour.
What the free calculator cannot know.
This calculator runs on your own utilization assumptions, the input that moves the result most. With full access, Padelscout Analytics fills in observed values from comparable clubs instead.